Oranje, where are we? An analysis…
After the dust settled in Belarus, let’s see where we stand with Oranje.
The feeling after the WC2006 was down. We didn’t do well. Some good moments in the group phase. Some bad moments. And many non-moments.
Our midfield not performing (Sneijder holding midfielder), Robben’s egotistical play, the emerging new world class player van Persie, a shaky defense, and a hard-working but not too effective Van Nistelrooy. And yellow cards. And red cards. And Portugal.
After the WC, Mark van Bommel threw the towel and Marco and Ruud going for a cool off period.
Oranje kept getting results in the EC qualifications. Sometimes with luck, sometimes with acceptable play. Clarence got back in the group but needed to wait some time to get in the starting line up. De Zeeuw replaced Landzaat. Ruud van Nistelrooy came back and - after a lot of public discussions and after De Haan’s U21 victory with 4-4-2 - Marco loosened his tactical grip and allowed the team to play in the their preferred system.
Not that Oranje played so much better in the 4-4-2 system or got more results, but still… Change was afoot.
How to assess Oranje’s performances?
Oranje vs Expectations:
Marco van Basten would become his own biggest enemy. When appointed, he declared to aim for attacking, dominant and attractive football. 4-3-3 was his dogma, with the emphasis on goals, individual brilliance and passing/positioning play. Total football. Oranje 1974 combined with Ajax 1995. The spirit of JC, Louis van Gaal and Rinus Michels. Meaning: result driven team performances with high class individual peaks…
Marco soon found out it wasn’t to be. He didn’t have the personnel (back four, wingers), his players played in different concepts at their clubs and most of all the time allotted to him in preparing for qualification games wasn’t enough to gel the team together. Oh, and let’s not forget: “big” nations don’t win that easily over “little” nations any longer…
Who’s to blame? I’d say: Marco was a bit naive with his opening statements and objectives. He should’ve told the nation that it would be hard to achieve his objectives. He should have been more open to the fans, full stop. About his intentions, his choices and his rifts with players (Bommel, Nistelrooy). Michels, Cruyff, Van Hanegem, Happel, Menotti, Weisweiler…they could all get away with being mysterious and mystical, but they had proven something already… Van Basten is still the apprentice but with an air of the master… That doesn’t sit well with the fans.
Oranje vs Other Big Nations:
Comparing our quality and results with other big nations, one must admit that Oranje didn’t do badly. The quality of play wasn’t there, but did France, Spain or England play attractive football and get results… No! Still, the Dutch have the reputation of always playing attractive, and recently some English football commentators were heard saying: yes, the Dutch qualified relatively easily, but still there’s someting wrong there. They come across as Germany now… Germany, being the only team that managed to play attractive and got results… That’s a tough one to accept.
Oranje as a team vs the Individual Players:
Yes, we do have great players. World class players. Our goalie. Some of our midfielders. Some of our strikers. But on some positions we don’t. We only have mediocre players on other positions. Players that aren’t even regular starters at mediocre teams in England, Spain and Germany. And then some our world class players seem to compete for a position in Oranje. We have 4 great “numbers 10″. One world class “number 9″ and a couple that could become great… But no wingers. No world class holding midfielder. And certainly no world class central defender. A motley crew at best.
The team is as strong as the weakest link, and we have a couple. And since it’s the back four that is the weakest line, it’s only normal that our midfield can’t play the way they would want to or the way they play at their club level, with better defenders behind them.
Goose, Bob and others said it earlier, and they are right. If our players all excel in their respective clubs but don’t at Oranje, it may be the coaches fault. It’s his job to glue a team together that operates as one unit, taking the good, the bad and the ugly in perspective and devise an appropriate game plan.
But, during qualification games it is almost impossible.
Oranje and growth:
To me, it seems Oranje has grown. Look at where Sneijder, Van Persie, Babel and De Zeeuw are now compared to two years back. And, Van Basten has grown too. A little, maybe, but the change has come and who knows where it ends. And who knows, with 7 months to go… Davids will return to Ajax in January, Ron Vlaar, Kevin Hofland…hell…maybe the youngsters at Ajax and PSV are able to step up to the plate. Time seems to be on our side a bit.
Realism:
We need to face the facts. The KNVB won’t lose face by replacing Marco. They will most certainly also decide not to place another - more experienced - coach above or next to Marco. It just wouldn’t work now. They could’ve done it 3 years back, now it just is too late.
We should just keep the faith that our group of world class players, the common sense of Marco van Basten and “Vrouwe Fortuna” (luck) will help us all on the next months with the right formula.
Because this Oranje could easily lose against Greece, Portugal and Sweden. But we could also beat France, Portugal and Germany and snatch the title.
If all our top dogs stay fit, if they have the form, if all things go our way (weather, pitch quality, referee decisions, etc) we have a chance.
If however, we miss a couple of players due to injury, if we bump into some “bad luck”, we could be ousted in the group phase. And I fear appointing another coach (be it Hiddink, Van Gaal, Van Marwijk or Adriaanse) is not going to change that fact. We are just not the best of Europe. Yet.
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Comments


good post jan
we look like an english team that played against croats
good attacking player but lack of build up frm back 4
one solution to this problem is lets not expect gre8 things frm the holland team in the coming tournament
lets hope they will do average they go n play football probably the luck will help them (last gasp goal, deflected shot, the opponent will b without their in form player ( may b he gets injured or gets suspended) and others)
i think the more the players frm dutch league the better will b the result i kno almost all of the players play in the foreign league they all r fantastic n they have smelled a bit of sucess in their carreer . the players like wesley robin n rafel catelen who havent had much of trophies can deliver more n more as compared to rvn n seedy
the defender we see in epl spl bundesliga r horrible so b prepared to see some blunder by them in the EC2008 the defenders frm dutch league i think r good
the draw will have some role in oranje’s fate i hope we may b drawn with two strong team n one a bit weak team
so far the performance against weaker ones havent been that good but wen they come up against france spain italy n germany may b portugal too this time round they can deliver more
Posted from
Nepal




comprehensive article, as usual..
one thing always bothers me with ur analysis though.. i think that the argument of marco was naive and promised too much is an overrated argument. sounds a bit like the team failed marco and not the other way around. i believe with another manager attractive football could have been a much more feasible task. i honestly see that our current manager is not getting the most out of our players. maybe the defenders are close to be a hopeless case and will hardly improve any more than that; but much more could have been achieved with our attacking midfielders and strikers.
we’ve changed line-ups too many times, switching formations, and the best players we have never played all together before recently.. During matches we make several unexplainable substitutions.. etc.
and more importantly i feel, we have an attitude on the pitch thats really mediocre. the players always look mentally more comfortable playing for their clubs than for their country.. Shameful!! And i think u attested to that a few times before, one i recall off the bat, when u mentioned how van nistelrooij went from having a relationship of admiration towards VB to one of mere professionalism. to me that’s sad, but says a lot about how the attitude has changed throughout VBs tenure as manager. i see no passion, no determination anymore, just ppl going to work and coming back home afterwards to their respective clubs.
i think we do have a chance of winning the EC, albeit a small one. But only because a lot of other big teams have been mediocre as well.. it’s probably as possible as bolton achieving 6 straight wins right now in the EPL.. unlikely but could happen. more likely would be a 2004-like tournament. Some small nation delivering the goods consistently only for the month of june/july 2008.
Posted from
Canada




Fair enough Rami, you may be right with your criticism on Van Basten…
The reason I bring that point up however, is that through the decades we always accepted lousy qualification games. Even in 1974 when we did have the best players in the world or in the run up to the 92 EC and basically all other tournaments (2002!)… And the criticism would only come when we appeared to lose out on qualifying… We accepted lousy games as a fact of life.
But after Marco expressed his wish for great sexy football, everytime he fails to do so, we are on his case, even after qualifying “easily”… I just think that’s not always fair.
Posted from
Australia




Although i am one who also worships teh 4-3-3 i think van basten could use an offesive 3-5-2 which would have the following players:
—————melchiot———ooijer————-boulahrouz————————-
———————–vanbronkhorst————seedorf——————————-
—-vandervaart————————————————–robben—————
———————————–sneijder——————————————–
——————–v.persie——————-v.nistlrooy—————————–
Posted from
Switzerland




p.s if he makes teh following players stick together and learn to play with one an other with well thought up tactics we can have a good summer. peace guys.
Posted from
Switzerland




Yeah, Marc I think with our offensive skills a line up like this should work. You put pressure on the opponent, who never play more than 2 strikers anyway. it’s a gutsy line up but I would love to see this in real life…
Posted from
Australia




I enjoyed that post Jan




Thanks Tjeerd…
Posted from
Australia




Nice one Jan;
about your comment on growth; think its just the individuel players that have grown and with it their level of play in Oranje… as a team there has been zero growth, one of my main problems with vanBasten
on realism; maybe its the one positive thing that for a change we wont start the EC thinking we have a good change of winning..kind of a underdog situation where you can grow as a team during the Champs..
on other big teams; you should have shown the results we had v big teams…Italy-loss; port-loss; Arg-draw… the german comment really hurts btw! those germans are strong again ..*&(*&*%$@$#@$#&
@marc; did you mix up Seedorf and vBronckhorst (left-right?), think youll need a replacement for Robben, he has lost it, pretty offensive line-up sure you wanna play like that against the big boys??
@rami; amen!!
about mentality; Sneijder told VI magazine that the problem was that nobody had any guts (geen lef), nobody dared taking risks…
“Some small nation delivering the goods consistently only for the month of june/july 2008.”; you mean Holland!!??? haha
grtz
Posted from
Netherlands




@Goose… good point, I should have included Oranje’s record against big teams… They all say they are hungry to play big teams, but based on what… Hhmmm….
Posted from
Australia




Jan, this was a terrific analysis, and the responses have been very interesting as well. As I have read the various comments, certain thoughts developed regarding the issue of motivation. Do Dutch footballers have the drive, determination and commitment to achieve success at the highest level of international competition? Do Dutch footballers define success differently from athletes of other countries, such as Brazil or Germany? When the Netherlands national team loses in major tournaments, do the athletes feel emotional pain from such losses?
Would there, indeed, be any difference to the high level professional footballer in Holland if the team won? Would the fans love the team less? Would the athlete make more money, or be more attractive on the transfer market? How, if at all, would the athlete’s life change due to a win, rather than a loss? In essence, it may not make a difference at all whether or not the Dutch team wins the next EC, and that fact in itself means something significant regarding motivation of individual players and team performance.
The Netherlands’ seems stuck on the philosophy, so well expressed in David Winner’s wonder book BRILLIANT ORANGE, that beautiful football is more important than winning football. Cruijff has often expressed the thought that it did not matter that the Netherlands lost to Germany in ‘74, because the Dutch played wonderfully attractive football and are the team that people remember from that tournament.
So, second place, third place, fourth place, quater-finals, all are OK as long as the football is BEAUTIFUL! If that is the mission, then the Dutch have succeeded as to that definition. Yet again, Winners suggests that the Dutch were possibly the “best” team in each of the major tournaments from 1990 to 2000, yet failed to win any one of them–often losing, by the way, on penalty kicks. Once again, if that is the mission and attitude of the coaches and players, then the results reflect the motivation.
I again ask the question, is that why the matches are played? Would the results have been different if the player “ambition” had been to WIN, WIN, WIN. The Germans and Brazilians have that motivation, and their record speaks for itself. Have the Dutch become too “soft”, lacking in motivation necessary to perfect skills, tactics and to develop highest level of physical conditioning? I do not know the answer, but am interested in the opinion of others.
Posted from
United States




Fantastic topic Bob and you’re spot on! This is something that has been bothering me for a long time (and others as well). And that’s why people call the Dutch eredivisie the Mickey Mouse competition. It’s too soft, too sweet… Too many one-two’s and not enough sharp challenges. Or, to quote Dirk Kuyt after Feyenoord - Ajax: “I saw young talent Luigi Bruins play. Exciting player. But in England, they would have kicked him through the ad-boards after 10 minutes…”
The desperate will to win… Germans have it, yes. I think the English have it (they don’t win because of other lacking elements). Italians have it. The Greek had it in 2004. Sometimes you can even see it enter a team. Like Australia in the WC2006 (the Croatia and Japan games)…
I’ve seen it in Oranje as well. The 1983 away game in Dublin (Gullit and Van Basten came on to turn the match around), in 1988, semi finals against West Germany… JC sold Koeman and Vaantje to PSV because they lacked it. And signed Wouters and Blind coz they did have it.
I think this is the missing link in Oranje. I think Sar, Bommel, Sneijder and Van Nistelrooy have “it”. Most others don’t. And I know exactly what you mean, Bob. All players “want to win, blablabla” but it’s that extra 5% venom… The venom Gerrard has, Puyol, Oliver Kahn, Matterazzi, Rooney, Inzaghi…
In the ol’ days, we had Suurbier, Israel, Van Hanegem, Neeskens… We had Wouters, Van Tiggelen, Van Aerle, Van Breukelen, Frank de Boer, Winston Bogarde, Cocu… Even Rijkaard lacked it when he was younger… Today, it’s something that’s lacking. It’s mentality, it’s focus, it’s NLP, it’s street-smarts…
Telling for me, was the WC1994 in the US. Oranje was ousted by Brazil in the QF’s after a tight game (Brazil scored one off side goal and a lucky free-kick winner that wasn’t a free-kick at all). Advocaat - team manager in 1994 - arrived at Schiphol airport and said he was satisfied and proud to have finished in the last 8…. WHAT?
And this aspect is what seperates the boys from the men. Why some make it in the big leagues (Van Nistelrooy, Stam, Cocu) and some don’t or won’t (Robben? Sneijder? Drenthe? De Ridder? Babel?). Too many mental question marks…
In Holland, life is great. You can kick a ball, when you’re a kid… Or play games on the PS3, go to a discoteque, listen to the ipod, watch movies, surf the net, go out with your girl, sail a boat, surf, ride a bike, play golf… In Brazil, Argentina, South Africa it’s different. I see it here in Oz as well…. The sports mentality here is phenomenal. It’s about crushing the opponent’s ego, not about winning even…
We miss that… Sad but true. Good point… Others care to comment?
Posted from
Australia




Ahh geez, I could go on and on like a street corner preacher on this topic, it’s the very thing that makes my blood boil. Due to a lack of time I’ll keep this short and potentially add later.
First, the very structure of the domestic leagues that high level players are involved in AND more importantly the shortage of time the national coaches have with their high level players seriously detracts from the level of team play and development during qualification. National coaches are nothing more of substitute teachers at this point. This is not meant as a “pass” on MVB performance. Second, (or third depending on how particular your all are about run on sentences) the very nature of the game (football) and the potential for a “nobody” to win compounds the first point. Particularly when you add the heart and will of the underdog. Which brings us back to Jan and Bobs point.
There comes a point when you have to throw the idea of beautiful football out the window. As and idea and a principle it’s the top, certainly, but at the dance it’s only the gown if you don’t know the steps. Incredibly, Oranje has the beautiful gown, and knows the steps better then most, but would rather look good then get laid/shag. As previously mentioned we lack the mentality of winning, we lack the leadership to generate that team mentality, and aside from a small few we have no fire in our bellies.
The difference between your best game ever and your worst game ever wasn’t physical, it was mental. Personally, I’d add a zero to Jan’s venom percentage. The difference between players physically at the professional level is 5%. The mental difference on the other hand is 50%. MVB doesn’t posses the leadership skills to squeeze the most out of that 50%. At this point my fingers are crossed that the player do the squeezing.
Posted from
Canada




JVB 21, great analysis! When I think about the truly great managers and coaches involved in professional sports here in the US, every one of them made a difference because they changed the mentality of their athletes. Vince Lombardi, the great American football coach of the Green Bay Packers, made an ordinary team extraordinary by changing player attitudes about the sport. Bill Parcells (football), John Wooden (college basketball), Red Auerbach (professional basketball)–all instilled in their athletes the will to win, to perform at the peak of their potential, to work as a team for team success, not individual success, and take pride in their work every time they came onto the field or court.
From what I have read, Rinus Michels was that kind of coach/manager–placing high expectations on attitude and performance, and intolerable of anything less than the best an athlete had to give. To achieve such a level of success, the coach must have several qualities–respect of his players; a drive to win, win,win; an ability to intimidate while at the same time encouraging an athlete to perform at the highest potential; a complete understanding of how to coach (not play, coach!)the sport and its athletes; a non-negotiable attitude about doing it his way without convincing evidence to change; and a willingness to bench the “stars” if they do not meet expectations. In other words, a martinet with a heart. It may be that the “modern” Dutch footballer is not able to respond to a coach with these qualities, therefore the recent disappointing performances. van Basten appears to have only one or two of these qualities. de Haan, Hiddink do have these qualities, thus the difference in success rates as compared to van Basten. So it goes.
Posted from
United States


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